· 2026-07-07

New York Mets head into Tuesday night’s game at Citi Field aiming for a third straight win after a 6-7 victory over the Atlanta Braves on July 6. The Mets sit 14th in the National League with a 38-53 record and are riding a two‑game winning streak.
Kansas City will start former Met Seth Lugo, who carries a 3-6 record and a 4.20 ERA. Lugo’s numbers have slipped since early June, with an expected ERA of 5.34 and a hard‑hit percentage of 43.1%. New York has not announced its starter yet, leaving the Mets’ rotation in flux as they prepare to face a struggling Royals lineup.
Juan Soto is the Mets’ biggest power threat, listed at +340 to hit a home run. He’s batting .301 with 19 homers this season and excels against right‑handed pitching, posting a .302 average and a 1.047 OPS. Against Lugo, Soto is 4-for-16 with one homer, but he’s homered twice in the past week, making him a tempting prop pick.
Both clubs sit at the bottom of their divisions, with the Mets at a minus‑60 run differential and the Royals at minus‑71. The Mets’ offense ranks 27th in wRC+, while Kansas City is 21st, so neither side boasts a dominant lineup. Still, the Royals have a porous bullpen (5.21 ERA) and have surrendered 51 homers this season, giving New York a chance to capitalize.
Key to a Mets victory will be early runs and solid bullpen work. If Soto connects for a homer early, it could set the tone. The Mets need to limit Lugo’s ability to keep hitters off balance; his whiff percentage sits at a low 18.2%, indicating batters are making contact. A timely defensive play or a clutch RBI could tip the scales in a low‑scoring affair.
DraftKings lists the Mets as -156 moneyline favorites, with the run line at -1.5 (+139). The total is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -110. Given the Mets’ recent offensive spark and the Royals’ weak bullpen, bettors might lean toward the Mets covering the run line and the game going over.
The game kicks off at 7:10 p.m. EST on Tuesday, July 7, at Citi Field. It will be streamed on Royals.TV and broadcast locally on SNY. Mets fans can catch the action live or follow the play‑by‑play on the team’s official app.
After Tuesday’s showdown, the Mets will look to build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. With a two‑game winning streak already in place, a victory over Kansas City could spark a brief resurgence as they chase a postseason spot.